Skip to main content

Table 3 Update process for path #1

From: Integrated Equipment Health Prognosis Considering Crack Initiation Time Uncertainty and Random Shock

Update #

Inspection time

/ cycles

Crack size / mm

Mean of \(m\)

Mean of \(t_{0}\)

/ cycles

Mean of \(F(t_{0} ,m)\)

/ cycles

Prior

  

1.4

2\(\times 1 0^{6}\)

17159000

1

3015700

2.1900

1.6277

1.9572\(\times 1 0^{6}\)

4072300

2

3315700

3.0425

1.6420

2.0105\(\times 1 0^{6}\)

3972800

3

3615700

3.5473

1.6275

1.9325\(\times 1 0^{6}\)

3991700

4

3915700

4.2072

1.6134

1.8354\(\times 1 0^{6}\)

3989700

Actual value

  

1.6

1.7\(\times 1 0^{6}\)

4215500