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Table 6 Update process for path #3

From: Integrated Equipment Health Prognosis Considering Crack Initiation Time Uncertainty and Random Shock

Update #

Inspection time

/ cycles

Crack size

/ mm

Mean of \(m\)

Mean of \(t_{0}\)

/ cycles

Mean of \(F(t_{0} ,m)\)

/ cycles

Prior

  

1.6

\(6.5 \times 1 0^{7}\)

1.331\(\times 1 0^{8}\)

1

8.5\(\times 1 0^{7}\)

0.2775

1.3006

6.7311\(\times 1 0^{7}\)

2.639\(\times 1 0^{8}\)

2

9.5\(\times 1 0^{7}\)

0.3968

1.2382

6.8447\(\times 1 0^{7}\)

3.126\(\times 1 0^{8}\)

3

10.5\(\times 1 0^{7}\)

1.0214

1.3204

6.8454\(\times 1 0^{7}\)

2.183\(\times 1 0^{8}\)

4

11.5\(\times 1 0^{7}\)

2.4759

1.4303

4.7962\(\times 1 0^{7}\)

1.480\(\times 1 0^{8}\)

5

12.5\(\times 1 0^{7}\)

2.7370

1.4233

4.7805\(\times 1 0^{7}\)

1.524\(\times 1 0^{8}\)

6

13.5\(\times 1 0^{7}\)

3.6924

1.4301

4.7735\(\times 1 0^{7}\)

1.454\(\times 1 0^{8}\)

7

14.5\(\times 1 0^{7}\)

4.7976

1.4334

4.8387\(\times 1 0^{7}\)

1.465\(\times 1 0^{8}\)

Actual value

  

1.4354

5.0060\(\times 1 0^{7}\)

1.474\(\times 1 0^{8}\)